Tag Archive: economic recovery


CafeSentido.com :: Pres. Barack Obama has proposed a national high-speed rail program that would develop eight to ten regions for high-speed rail (currently, only the so-called northeast corridor, running from Washington, DC, to Boston, through Baltimore, Philadelphia and New York, has a regular high-speed service), as part of a phased-in long-term economic recovery plan. The rail project comes into play also as part of Obama’s plans for a comprehensive energy-sector overhaul, aimed at reducing carbon emissions.

The high-speed rail project is perhaps one of the least adequately reported components of both economic recovery and energy infrastructure overhaul plans, but one of the most vital and thoughtful. A successful implementation of 10 high-speed rail “regions”, in the most densely populated areas of the country, would provide a platform for major innovations in transport and energy sourcing.

A rail service, by nature, allows for the use of a wide variety of power-sourcing, and could provide the most immediate opportunity for making the shift to clean energy resources. An electric rail system would permit any new electricity sourcing strategy to be linked into the railway infrastructure, as soon as it is ready and operational. This could put millions of passengers in a clean-energy transport system within just a few years’ time.

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Pres. Barack Obama today visited the Interior Dept., noting it was once called in jest “the Department of Everything Else”, a government agency with responsibility for nearly 1/5 of the entire land area of the United States. He professed his intention to task the Interior Dept. with taking major steps to help build green infrastructure for an energy economy based on solar-voltaic and wind-turbine-generated energy.

Obama said his budget plan would devote money to the Interior Dept. to provide clean drinking water for rural areas, and build improved schools with 21st century technology for Native American communities.

“Today I signed a memorandum that will help restore the scientific process to its proper place at the heart of the endangered species act”, Obama said, noting that the role of science in protecting endangered species and conserving natural resources had been diminished by those who sought to profit from exploiting natural resources.

Obama said that “smart, sustainable” policy was the best way to carry out the stewardship required of the Interior Dept., so that natural resources found on that land, including sometimes fragile ecosystems that provide real natural services, can be protected and preserved for optimal use, far into the future.

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There is talk of a major overhaul of the US banking system, with some analysts and economists saying the situation is so dire that widespread “nationalization” —or government takeover— will be necessary, and others saying there needs to be a bad-debt takeover bank, that takes on the huge financial risk of major banks’ “toxic assets”, so that the banks can “clear their books” and begin to lend.

But another possibility looms as the likely more appealing option: the creation of a Federal Competitive-Lending Bank (FCLB), whose purpose would be to create competition in the credit markets by getting credit to consumers and setting rates that banks are reluctant, at present, to set, because the credit markets and the rate of return are less favorable than the credit market standards have been leading into this crisis.

As Vikram Pandit, the head of CitiGroup, told Congress this week, the banks have been slow in adjusting to the new reality, which will likely mean tighter margins and harder work keeping everything viable. This may or may not be about human frailty, about wishful thinking, about a psychology of denial; what matters at the heart of it is that allowing those weaknesses to slow progress on corrective action is not a sound option. A federal competitive-lending bank would drive banks to rethink the present climate now, rather than later.

One of the chief areas of appeal for the FCLB concept is that the banks’ extreme caution with regard to lending is causing a downward spiral effect that makes the banks’ own troubles more like a self-fulfilling prophecy than an inevitable calamity. The banks could do a lot more business than they are doing, but they are nervous and no one wants to be the first to leap into the abyss.

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obama-online-300x169Pres. Barack Obama announced, just one week after taking office, the creation of a new website, Recovery.gov, which will detail the manner in which all the money from his American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan, once passed by Congress and signed into law, is being spent. The website is another in a series of steps to create a far-reaching reform of the federal government’s reporting to the public about its activities, with the aim of achieving Obama’s promise of the “most transparent” government in US history.

Economic recovery requires a massive amount of new federal spending, and the administration has asked Congress to find ways to use that wave of spending to implement vital innovations in the overall structure of the American economy, so that some of the “stimulative” effects actually turn into sustainable new areas of compounded growth. That means not only infrastructure, but the fomenting of new industries, like clean-energy businesses that will build a new energy distribution system and new industrial output.

Stimulus also requires the rapid disbursal of funds to specific industries, which will immediately use those funds on projects that will lead to retention or increase of jobs in a given market. Among those industries is the entertainment industry that dominates the city of Los Angeles, and which needs the investment to keep employing the hundreds of thousands who depend on its intermittent projects for their income, as banks are not lending as freely as they once did.

All of this means Recovery.gov is a necessary tool, aimed at informing the public about how each recovery dollar is spent, where that stimulus has been directed, or where there are long-term infrastructure projects getting underway. This is a new wave of information which will also benefit those who are practically or geographically mobile and can shift skill-focus or change location in order to take advantage of new funding, something that can optimize the effects of the recovery and reinvestment plan.

Over the long-term, education spending has a better return-on-investment than any other type of government spending, in terms of generating economic activity, and so it will be instructive for the public to be able to view what sorts of new economic opportunities are being made available and what sorts of new horizons open up for the adults and young people who are able to take advantage of those opportunities.

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It may be that “a few bad apples” got the ball rolling on what has turned into a massive international financial disaster. Or, it may be that a few bad apples got their names in lights, while the entire system conspired unwittingly in a spectacular collapse. Either way, the best expression of the problem might be to say that markets have stopped working, in part, because they have been comprehensively modified to stop working like markets.

With capital vanishing, nearly $7 trillion in stock losses in just a few months, and banks refusing to lend even the tens of billions they were given precisely to lubricate the lending process, we are facing a crisis of confidence and an inability to conceptualize shared interest. The idea that self-interest motivates markets somehow developed, irresponsibly, into the idea that self-interest is more important than the functionality of market dynamics.

With ever-larger banking interests concentrating power in fewer and fewer hands, they also began to rely on mystical assumptions about the wealth-generating power of certain financial risks. The obscurity of those financial gambles, the need to believe in their power of wealth-expansion, allowed financial institutions to use questionable deals, with even more questionable projected rates of return, to paper-over already measurable under-performance, both in their own businesses and in the markets generally.

The underlying problem in the system —which allowed banking institutions to hide bad debt in bundled assets, and resell it to trading partners who may not have been given full disclosure on the unsustainable nature of much of the underlying debt— is transparency. A fierce individualist ideology led to a convenient clouding over of the reporting mechanisms intended to make financial institutions more ethical, more stable, and more useful to those outside their walls.

One of the major innovations that could take place —either by collaborative effort now in a time of crisis, or over time, as everyday operators within markets work to adopt the most intelligent organizational tools— would be a vast network of open information, regarding the management of investment funds, securitized loan holdings, and lending practices at a given institution.

This system need not reveal any personal private information about individual investors or bank customers, but would be made available to the public so that the maximum possible amount of information be searchable for anyone wishing to vet the claims of in-house analysts. Part of the goal would be to facilitate the proliferation of new smart-reporting economic databases, and to allow competing points of view on the most complex investment-backup schemes to have an open hearing, as based on credible information.

One of the side-effects of this sort of banking transparency network would be to reduce the motivation for wrongdoing, be it small manipulations or distortions on a grand scale, because by its nature, the system would privilege the more reliable sources of information. Banks with better reporting would be considered superior institutions, in terms of viability and therefore smart investment choices. Grandiose claims would be far less relevant, because they would be measured by their truthfulness, not their dimension.

For many reasons, this may seem like pie in the sky; for one: we don’t know what sort of computing technology could do the work necessary to parse such large volumes of information in a timely fashion. But computer speeds are accelerating rapidly, with the Roadrunner super-computer at Los Alamos achieving petaflop speeds —one thousand trillion calculations per second— and nano-chemical computing on the horizon, potentially magnifying the processing power of traditional microprocessors by thousands or even millions of times.

And, that’s still without touching on the controversial topic of quantum computing, in which everyday substances —like 12 ounces of coffee— can be turned into massive computational neural nets capable of working out problems that require trillions of calculations instantly. The complications there are too many to go into at present, and there is no reliable quantum computer that can be applied to something with so many legal implications as a banking system, at the moment, but the work is ongoing.

Cloud computing may be the first major speed-related improvement that can allow the beginnings of a true banking transparency network. This is a major undertaking, and will require a daunting philosophical shift for many in the financial industry, but armed with computers working at thousands of times today’s computers’ top speeds, spread out over a dispersed cloud-computing network, it would be possible to optimize processing speed, memory allocation, memory recall, informational back-up, time-keeping and matrix cross-referencing.

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CafeSentido.com :: US president-elect Barack Obama pledged on Saturday, in his weekly radio and web address, to initiate a massive public works program to help create jobs, build a greener economy, restore US industrial relevance and spur economic growth. The plan announced by Obama would also require that states who participate in the massive investment in new and upgraded infrastructure use the money quickly or lose the funding. [continues below ?]

Obama’s announcement of a massive public works initiative came just one day after the latest government employment report cited 533,000 jobs lost in the month of November alone, bringing the total net jobs loss for 2008 to 1.9 million, with potentially the worst month yet to come and two of the three Detroit automakers warning they could file for bankruptcy by the end of the year. The focus of the infrastructure program was less specific about green projects, but is expected to include a heavy focus on promoting renewable energy technologies.

First, Obama said he would “launch a massive effort to make public buildings more energy-efficient.” He specified that the US “government now pays the highest energy bill in the world. We need to change that. We need to upgrade our federal buildings by replacing old heating systems and installing efficient light bulbs”, which he said would save “billions of dollars each year” and also create much needed jobs to slow the economic downturn and speed recovery.

In the second part of his plan, he announced:

we will create millions of jobs by making the single largest new investment in our national infrastructure since the creation of the federal highway system in the 1950s. We’ll invest your precious tax dollars in new and smarter ways, and we’ll set a simple rule – use it or lose it. If a state doesn’t act quickly to invest in roads and bridges in their communities, they’ll lose the money.

An inventive part of his infrastructure investment plan includes “the most sweeping effort to modernize and upgrade school buildings that this country has ever seen.” The president-elect promised to upgrade schools that are behind the times or in ill-repair, set new standards for energy-efficiency, retrofitting buildings with new technology and ensuring that classrooms are computer-equipped.

In a sense, he picks up the mantle of the Clinton-Gore years, “building a bridge to the 21st century”, decrying the poor job of overseeing and maintaining America’s schools in recent years and calling for a nationwide effort to make sure children in 21st century America attend schools that are not only safe and modern, but equipped with 21st-century technology, learning aids and access to the “information superhighway”.

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