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U.S. Environment


Breaking News



A Fact-based Response to Climate Skeptics

February 20, 2010 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

In response to a recent article, explaining that record snowfall in certain places does not equate to a proof that global warming is not happening, but rather, that global warming is an apt explanation for why the record snowfalls would occur there, a number of climate skeptics chose to attack certain points in the piece, using what they take to be established science. In some cases, the evidence cited was simply misrepresented or misinterpreted, according to the wishes of the skeptics themselves.

More on page 6069

Snow-storms & Cold Weather DO NOT Disprove Global Warming

February 16, 2010 :: J.E. Robertson :: 7 Comments

Climate-science skeptics have been gleeful in their assault on climate change theory, the hard research and tens of thousands of scientists behind it and the very concept of human responsibility to the environment, because there has been snowfall. In a stunning display of ignorance, Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) openly claimed the record snows that hit Washington, DC, were evidence there was in fact no climate change, that the whole idea is just a myth.

More on page 6062

Copenhagen Accord Gives No Guarantees, but Could Drive More Ambitious Targets

January 8, 2010 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

After decades of environmental scientists seeking to raise awareness about the detrimental impacts of burning ever more carbon-based fuels, the Copenhagen Accord shows a global willingness to recognize the gravity of the issue and to take concrete —if as yet unnamed— policy actions to address the challenges of coming decades.

More on page 5624

Snowflake Solar Cells 100 Times More Efficient than Standard Solar Cells

December 28, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: One Comment

The Sandia National Laboratories have achieved a landmark breakthrough in solar-voltaic power-generation technology. The snowflake-like “solar glitter” uses 100 times less material to produce the same amount of electricity as today’s standard 6-inch square solar cells. This achievement of ultra-miniaturization now has the potential to move solar-voltaic power generation to the forefront of the clean energy revolution, and help speed the transition away from carbon-based combustible fuels.

More on page 5663

Glaciers Are not just a ‘Canary in the Coal Mine’

December 23, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

As ongoing global climate destabilization builds momentum, and fundamental climate-linked environmental processes come apart, we are hearing time and again that melting ice, whether in glaciers or in the Arctic Ocean, is “the canary in the coal mine”. The metaphor is very tempting, indeed, as coal is the most carbon-intensive fuel in use and a major contributing factor to global warming and climate destabilization, but the problem with the metaphor lies in the meaning of the canary being nothing more than an alarm signal. Glaciers are very much more important to human civilization than that.

More on page 5606

Glacial Ice Melt Accelerating Worldwide (video)

December 22, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

Glacial melt is one of the key signs of global warming, but the disappearance of glacial ice is a worrying depletion of the basic life-sustaining resource of fresh water. Glacial ice provides the source water for many of the world’s major river systems, and thus affects the food supply and quality of life of billions of people. What’s more, as glaciers are eroded due to accelerated melting, downstream human populations face the twin problems of catastrophic flooding and more arid long-term conditions. Inland precipitation is reduced and sea levels rise, causing a very real threat to coastal communities of all sizes and levels of development.

More on page 5609

Arctic Ice Melt Hit Record in 2007, Continues to Accelerate (video)

December 22, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

With global temperatures warming steadily, and this decade the hottest ever recorded, ice stores are melting around the globe. From the Western Antarctic Ice Sheet to the Greenland Ice Sheet to the ancient glaciers of the Himalayas —which feed river systems that irrigate land that feeds 3 billion people—, we are losing unprecedented amounts of climate-regulating ice. And in 2007, the Arctic Ocean lost more sea ice than at any time on record. It was projected that for the summer of 2008, the coveted Northwest Passage —from Europe to Asia— would finally be open, due to ongoing compounded melting of the polar ice cap.

More on page 5594

Copenhagen Climate Accord: Final Text (transcript)

December 21, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

(1) [W]e shall, recognizing the scientific view that the increase in global temperature should be below 2 degrees Celsius, on the basis ofequity and in the context of sustainable development, enhance our long-term cooperative action to combat climate change. … (2) We agree that deep cuts in global emissions are required according to science, and as documented by the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report with a view to reduce global emissions so as to hold the increase in global temperature below 2 degrees Celsius … (10) We decide that the Copenhagen Green Climate Fund shall be established as an operating entity of the financial mechanism of the Convention to support projects, programme, policies and other activities in developing countries related to mitigation including REDD-plus, adaptation, capacity-building, technology development and transfer….

More on page 5584

Copenhagen Talks End with Beginnings of a Global Pact

December 19, 2009 :: Eva Scherson :: One Comment

After two weeks of intense and sometimes bitter negotiations, US president Barack Obama arrived in Copenhagen to marshal all his diplomatic skills in brokering the beginnings of a viable framework for global carbon emissions reductions. Late Friday, it was announced that five nations —the United States, China, India, Brazil, and South Africa— had carved out a deal that would, for the first time, bring all the world’s major economies into the same camp on efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions.

More on page 5544

Copenhagen Conference Reaches Agreement on Global Emissions Framework

December 18, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

When US president Barack Obama arrived in Copenhagen, there was no global agreement on how to address climate change and greenhouse gas emissions, and talks were described as being “in a state of chaos”. His morning schedule of face to face meetings was reorganized so he could attend an emergency conference of key leaders. Talks were scheduled to continue through the weekend, and yet before midnight, agreement had been reached.

More on page 5525

UK PM Brown Plans Backup Talks if Copenhagen Fails

December 18, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

Gordon Brown plans “plan b” 2nd round of talks if Copenhagen conference fails to achieve global pact. The plan would call for a smaller number of nations to meet to agree to concrete steps to curb emissions and move their contribution to the world economy toward a green energy future.

More on page 5518

Heavy Investment in New Energy Technologies Needed to Curb Emissions (discussion)

December 18, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

With the US promising to commit $100 billion over ten years to help fund mitigation efforts against the impacts of climate destabilization and China all but refusing outright to agree to any pact that requires international verification of emissions reductions and/or how international funds are spent, the technological solution remains a key priority.

More on page 5515

New Copenhagen Accord Draft Drops 2010 Deadline, Keeps 2ºC Overall Temp Rise

December 18, 2009 :: staff :: One Comment

The furious negotiations of the final days of the Copenhagen conference on climate change has produced another draft of a potential Copenhagen Accord, which would drop the 2010 deadline for establishing a binding global treaty, but would keep the absolute upper limit of an eventual 2ºC global average temperature rise above pre-industrial levels.

More on page 5507

US Pledging $100 Billion for Climate-change Mitigation

December 18, 2009 :: Anjika Sridhar :: One Comment

The United States is pledging to “take the lead” on a global fund of $100 billion over ten years, designed to help developing nations transition to a zero-combustion energy economy and fend off the already mounting ravages of climate destabilization. The offer was announced yesterday by Sec. of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, and was intended in part to put added pressure on China to agree to a binding climate deal with emissions reduction verification processes built in.

More on page 5498

Why Developing Nations Want More Emissions Cuts from Wealthy Nations

December 16, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The dispute over whether or not wealthy industrialized nations like the US can agree with fast-developing nations, still in the process of industrialization, like China and India, on how best to formulate global emissions policies to combat climate change has been explained backwards. It is commonly said that China and India want the right to continue burning ever-increasing amounts of carbon-based fuels until they catch up to the US and the industrialized nations in per-capita emissions levels. But the problem is more a matter of what cuts the industrial nations are willing to undertake.

More on page 5445

Video Explains Cap & Trade

December 14, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

This video from Congress.org uses animation to illustrate the way “cap and trade” proposals to limit greenhouse gas emissions —and slow or reverse climate change— would work. The video is a simplified explanation of the very complex array of regulatory reforms that will need to be implemented in order to achieve the goals laid out, but it is accurate in its description of the logic of cap and trade.

More on page 5438

Sen. Inhofe’s Science-denial Approach Would Have Made Dust-bowl Oklahoma into a Failed State

December 13, 2009 :: Denver Lessing :: No Comment Yet

Sen. James Inhofe (R-OK) is fond of calling the entire global field of climate science “a hoax”, and not only advocates inaction to curb the unraveling of climate systems, but devoutly champions the expansion of the very activities that are driving the planet to crisis. Had he been in office during the catastrophic 1930s “Dust Bowl” and had he had any success in convincing government and farmers to apply such an approach, Oklahoma could have been turned into a permanent desert with the characteristics of a failed state in perpetual need of food aid and expensive imports.

More on page 5389

US Government Obliged to Take Climate Action, Regardless of Congress

December 13, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

There has long been a view in Washington that the federal government cannot enact regulations aimed at curbing carbon emissions and other greenhouse gases (GHG) without a specific new statutory framework passed by Congress. In an effort to be conciliatory toward pro-business interests and conservatives in both parties, Pres. Obama has largely held to this view of climate-linked emissions regulations. But this view is actually not supported by existing legislation and judicial precedent.

More on page 5402

Farm Sustainability Corps Can Make Farming More Lucrative, Secure Food Supply

December 13, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: One Comment

Soil erosion is just one of the many factors of sustained entropy undermining the global agricultural capacity, and by extension the global food supply. Desertification affecting sub-Saharan Africa, including the expansion of the indomitable Sahara, and across northwestern China, poses a very real threat to cropland feeding hundreds of millions of people. A farm sustainability corps could help deliver resources, know-how and restorative and sustainable soil conservation practices to the most affected areas.

More on page 5388

Copenhagen Conference Sees Eagerness to Reach Deal on Carbon Emissions

December 11, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The United Nations Copenhagen Conference on emissions-linked climate destabilization is reported to be progressing toward a new global framework for regulating carbon emissions and mitigating the breakdown of global climate systems. According to the UN website, “The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has noted an eagerness among the parties to the talks to sit down and complete as much work as possible before the arrival of high-level government officials next week.”

More on page 5379

World Food Supply Under Threat from Environmental Factors

December 10, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The global food supply is facing major security challenges, as warming global average temperatures and the destabilization of climate patterns and natural services undermine dependable agricultural cycles and threaten resources. The food supply is the most direct and visible connection between the breakdown of global climate systems and human health and wellbeing, but not the only link. The possible collapse of a major part of the human food supply means the collapse of agriculture, i.e. the breakdown of the human habitat.

More on page 5320

Opponents of Emissions Regulation Seek Free Pass on Harm to Human Health

December 10, 2009 :: Eva Scherson :: No Comment Yet

Big business interests have come out in fierce opposition to the proposed EPA regulation of emissions that contribute to the greenhouse effect, and the fundamental destabilization of global climate patterns. The opponents of new regulatory measures allege such regulation would unduly hamper the ability of businesses responsible for the emissions to profit from their existing business model. Supporters of heavy investment in carbon-based industries are, without any pretense otherwise, seeking a free pass on harm to human health.

More on page 5366

EPA Rules Carbon Emissions Endanger Human Health

December 9, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: One Comment

The United States’ Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has ruled that carbon and other greenhouse gas emissions pose a danger to human health, two years after the US Supreme Court gave it the authority to regulate carbon emissions for that very reason, under the Clean Air Act. The finding gives new weight to the American administration’s efforts to help achieve international consensus on aggressive emissions reductions at Copenhagen.

More on page 5326

Copenhagen Conference Opens, with 192 Nations in Attendance

December 7, 2009 :: staff :: One Comment

The Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change opened today, with 192 nations in attendance, making it the most significant event ever staged to bring governments together to fashion a global response to climate destabilization. 15,000 participants representing governments and the fields of science, economics and public policy research, are gathered to try to reach agreement on the first true global protocol for curbing emissions and countering the threat of comprehensive climate destabilization.

More on page 5297

The Truth About the Stolen Climate-science E-mails

December 7, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The e-mails that were stolen from servers at the British University of East Anglia’s climate science center do not show evidence of any conspiracy to falsify science; all they really reveal is evidence of how poorly some people handle political tensions regarding an issue of grave importance for human civilization. So far, the only thing the e-mail scandal has shown is that a handful of people felt that junk science might derail needed environmental regulatory reforms on which the future of human civilization will depend.

More on page 5266

Climate Scientists Say Destabilization Much Worse than IPCC Reporting

December 1, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: One Comment

A group of 26 climate scientists, including 14 members of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the UN-backed world-leading climate science peer-review institution, are now reporting that climate destabilization is occurring much faster than the IPCC’s landmark reports have so far shown. The Copenhagen Diagnosis report finds that greenhouse gas emissions are expanding rapidly, now 40% higher than in 1990, and that a combination of information regarding solar intensity and carbon emissions increases shows clear evidence that ongoing warming is the result of human industrial activity.

More on page 5205

Copenhagen Diagnosis Report Summary (transcript)

December 1, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

Global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels in 2008 were nearly 40% higher than those in 1990. Even if global emission rates are stabilized at present –day levels, just 20 more years of emissions would give a 25% probability that warming exceeds 2oC. Even with zero emissions after 2030. Every year of delayed action increase the chances of exceeding 2oC warming.

More on page 5210

Emissions Expansion Could Be Leading Threat to Developing Countries

October 24, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

International efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and slow climate destabilization have been hampered by concerns that developing countries will not reduce their emissions aggressively enough, so leaving industrialized nations at a cost-competitive disadvantage. But evidence suggests a failure by developing nations to curb emissions expansion could pose the most significant threat to their political and economic stability.

More on page 4951

Major Climate-linked Emissions Regulation Will Help Everyone Everywhere, including Business

October 23, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

Even as momentum gathers for major collaborative climate-linked emissions regulatory policy, aimed at reducing greenhouse-gas emissions like carbon dioxide (CO2), some in industry remain convinced of an outdated theory that assumes emissions reduction must be bad for business. The US Chamber of Commerce (CC), a leading business lobby, is devoting $150 million to fight regulation [...]

More on page 4944

Reform Watch: Healthcare, Energy, Finance, Immigration & Gay Rights

October 20, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

Insurers campaign to kill healthcare may be helping renew support for the public option, as Congress prepares to vote. A shift in subsidies is driving a clean energy boom in the American west, and emissions legislation is likely to pass Congress this year. Financial regulatory reform will establish a Consumer Financial Protection Agency. Immigration and gay-rights reform will likely wait till 2010.

More on page 4932

Obama Visits New Orleans to Push Katrina Recovery

October 16, 2009 :: Denver Lessing :: No Comment Yet

President Barack Obama was in New Orleans yesterday to survey Katrina recovery efforts 4 years after the hurricane ravaged the city, expelling most of its population. Obama toured the only school reopened to date in the Lower Ninth Ward, the area mist devastated by Katrina’s storm surge, and met with Gov. Bobby Jindal, a Republican, a persistent critic of key Obama policies, discussing the best ways to ensure effective delivery of assistance to the ongoing rebuilding efforts.

More on page 4912

Water Resource Depletion Threatens Global Food Supply

October 3, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: One Comment

Water resource depletion leads not only to chronic scarcity of clean, safe drinking water for increasing numbers of people, but means arable land is harder to cultivate and to maintain. Persistent drought and accelerated desertification (the expansion of deserts into the farmed and/or built environment) are results of water resource depletion.

More on page 4802

Ecology is About Awareness, not a System of Control

September 29, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The field of ecological research and reporting is a part of the basic human urge to engage the world through reason and a quest for understanding. It is not about seizing control of society’s urges and services and limiting the freedom of anyone, but rather about making sure we have the information we need to make the best choices, then advocating for those choices, when inertia and custom stand in the way of better health — for individuals and in the manner in which human individuals respond to their social and natural environments.

More on page 4762

Obama’s Green Message to Gen. Assembly Wins China Support

September 22, 2009 :: staff :: One Comment

Pres. Barack Obama today delivered his first address to the UN General Assembly, promoting cooperation to green the global economy and combat climate change. He pledged the US would lead by example, and called on other nations to find common ground and work to secure the global environment against irreversible degradation.

More on page 4509

California Could Build Renewable Resource Export Economy

September 16, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

One solution for California would be the expansion of its efforts across the region and the nation, to spur the creation of a full-scale renewable resource-based power grid, to optimize both generative capacity and distribution. The question is, now that the decision has been made to shift toward renewables, how can California go beyond the 1/3 threshold and build a strong renewable-energy export economy?

More on page 4442

Schwarzenegger’s 1/3 from Renewables by 2020 is Still a Slow Start

September 15, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R-CA) is reported to be planning to enact the most stringent renewable energy regulations in the nation, requiring public utilities to generate fully one-third of their electric output from renewable resources by the year 2020. California has been pushing for aggressive new standards requiring a transition to renewable energy, but was blocked by the Bush-era EPA from implementing more stringent state-wide emissions protocols and has recently seen a tough battle in Sacramento over the question of imposing on utilities a shift to clean, renewable resources.

More on page 4431

Generative Economics: How to Expand the Resource Base as We Access It?

September 13, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

As the “perfect storm” gathers from inchoate, deceptively non-threatening winds, we can look ahead, backward and into the mirror and ask how crisis comes, or why, if it is inevitable, if we might just fall right out of it, as we fell into it. But the answer is simple: human crisis comes from excess, from inordinate ambition, from misplaced aggression, from over-exploitation of resources, each of which generates real and problematic tension across the landscape of human experience.

More on page 4425

Global Food Supply Jeopardized by Converging Crisis-level Interferences

September 3, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

The security of the global food supply is deteriorating rapidly, due to a convergence of forces all related to long-gathering crisis-level erosions of the human agricultural prospect. Desertification, water scarcity, massive toxic runoff and oceanic wildlife collapse, are all putting the global food web under unprecedented stress.

More on page 4257

L’Aquila Major Economies Forum Takes on Climate Change

July 10, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 2 Comments

US president Barack Obama convened a G8-parallel Major Economies Forum on Energy and Climate, comprised of 17 nations representing over 80% of the world’s industrial and consumer greenhouse gas emissions. The goal was to push governments to move their emissions and energy strategies closer to consensus for meeting bold targets for carbon emissions reductions, in anticipation of the September G20 summit in Pittsburgh and the UN climate summit at Copenhagen in December.

More on page 3508

Diversify Wheat Crops to Prevent Fungus-induced Global Harvest Collapse (discussion)

July 8, 2009 :: staff :: One Comment

The Hot Spring Network has opened a discussion, in collaboration with Café Sentido, on the need to diversify the global wheat crop in order to prevent an evolved crop fungus, Ug99, from destroying as much as 80% of the global wheat harvest.

More on page 3468

Climate Bill Could Bring Total Energy Revolution

July 2, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 5 Comments

While some industry allies claim that HR 2454, the American Clean Energy and Security Act (ACES) will raise costs for energy-producers and thereby raise energy costs across the board, there are signs that technologies already being tested and implemented could benefit in such a way as to bring about a complete, economy-wide revolution in energy production, distribution and pricing. Renewable resources are now showing themselves to be far more efficient than ever previously thought, and bold initiatives are getting ready to test new limits that would allow even airplanes to be 100% fuel-free.

More on page 3382

Going Deep Green: renewables to guarantee clean energy supply for export (discussion)

June 29, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 3 Comments

The US is considering a climate and energy bill, H.R. 2454, the American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACES), amid much controversy over competing methods of calculating costs and benefits. Climate skeptics that rule out global climate change as a real long-term cost are concerned that energy-industry economics will be “distorted” by this legislation, leading to massive losses across the economy; environmentalists are concerned that widespread rapid climatic variation could destabilize not only natural ecosystems and reliable agriculture, but political institutions, borders and nation states.

More on page 3298

The Tipping Point: How Naturally Occurring Compounds Become Dangerous Pollutants

June 27, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 2 Comments

One of the main objections made by those who criticize efforts to control carbon emissions is that “carbon dioxide is not an atmospheric pollutant”. This line of reasoning tends to argue that emissions-induced global climate destabilization is an elaborate anti-corporate hoax aimed at creating a one-world socialist government. The problem is that this line of reasoning conveniently, or unknowingly, ignores altogether the crises that emerge not from essential contaminants but from substances crossing a threshold, a tipping point.

More on page 3271

Waxman Includes Titus-Giffords-Heinrich Clean Energy Amendment in H.R. 2454

June 26, 2009 :: staff :: One Comment

Congressman Henry Waxman, one of the main sponsors of the “ACES” climate bill, H.R. 2454, has added the Titus-Giffords-Heinrich amendment, which would require the federal government to steadily ramp up contracted clean energy agreements over the next 20 years. The clean energy amendment had been pushed by a number environmental and progressive advocacy groups, including MoveOn.org, which urged millions of supporters to contact Congress to demand inclusion of the amendment.

More on page 3258

Climate Bill Would Achieve Far Lower Costs than Critics Projected

June 24, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 3 Comments

Major new climate legislation is pending before the United States Congress. The bill has been called the most important climate-related legislation ever to be voted on by the US House of Representatives, and has been the cause of intense policy negotiations among supporters, opponents and legislators. The League of Conservation Voters has taken the decision that it will not endorse any member of the House of Representatives that does not support the legislation.

More on page 3196

Ug99 Stem Rust Fungus Could Wipe Out 80% of World Wheat Crop

June 23, 2009 :: staff :: 2 Comments

A crop-borne fungus that targets wheat, named Ug99 because it was first identified in Uganda in 1999, has become one of the primary threats to global food security. Newfound virulence in the evolving stem-rust strain suggests the fungus could destroy as much as 80% of the world’s most widely grown crop: wheat.

More on page 3183

190-page White House Report Urges Immediate Climate Action (discussion)

June 22, 2009 :: staff :: 3 Comments

In what is described as “the strongest language” ever to emerge from the White House on climate change, a new 190-page report warns that climate destabilization is happening now, around the world, and beginning to impact every level of the economy and of living standards.

More on page 3172

Transition to Renewables Cannot Wait, Devotion to Carbon Fuel is Folly

June 18, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: 3 Comments

There are still skeptics who say that wind power cannot generate enough power to be useful, or that the transition to renewable sources of energy is not really of urgent necessity. Here I offer some ideas to counter that argument. First of all, the US is shamefully behind in developing wind power generation, but that doesn’t mean it will never happen, as some suggest.

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Sustainable Use of the Oceans: Overfishing + Pollution ‘Dead Zones’ Depleting Ocean Life (discussion)

June 9, 2009 :: J.E. Robertson :: No Comment Yet

Overfishing has depleted fish-stocks the world over. Subsidies and lack of enforcement of sustainability measures drive the fishing industry to deplete the very stocks on which its existence depends, while climate interference and global contamination are leaving oceans so hypoxic (oxygen deprived) they cannot support marine life. At least 405 such ‘dead zones’ have been identified across the globe.

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US Congress approves credit card restrictions, denies funding for Guantánamo prison closure; Obama announces 35.5 mpg CAFE std. for 2016…

May 20, 2009 :: staff :: No Comment Yet

The United States Congress yesterday approved new legislation putting restrictions on credit card companies, limiting the leeway banks have in specifying terms and conditions in complex wording in long pages of fine print. The measure would also require that no lender see interest rates escalate until being at least 60 days delinquent and that rates [...]

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Against the Good Nukes / Bad Nukes Fallacy

Cynicism often lends itself to the construction of intellectually convenient, overly facile descriptions of future events, which —bolstered by the impassioned worries and self-promotion of the cynic, the anti-prophet— quickly assume an air of prophetic certainty. Buoyed by the psychological satisfaction of carrying prophetic certainty within, the cynic then commits more and more fully to the proclamation of unshakeable doctrines about the future, based on bad-faith arguments and a passion for the despairing global outlook.

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